TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 16, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 16, 2026?

Volume:
$53,223

81° or below

 - Kalshi

81° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 17, 2026

Closed: Jul 17, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

81° or below

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,167
N/A
N/A
$6,739
Settled
Yes
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,251
N/A
N/A
$8,374
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,546
N/A
N/A
$4,409
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,511
N/A
N/A
$4,754
Settled
No
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,933
N/A
N/A
$3,949
Settled
No
kalshi

90° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,816
N/A
N/A
$1,636
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Phoenix on July 16, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service Climatological Report for that date, with resolution based on which temperature range the recorded minimum falls into.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the minimum temperature recorded in Phoenix, AZ on July 16, 2026, according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source is accessed via the NWS Phoenix office website under the Observed Weather tab for Phoenix, AZ. Temperature ranges are divided into six bands: 81°F or below, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, 88-89°F, and 90°F or above. Each range corresponds to a distinct market outcome. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official NWS Climatological Report (Daily) is the authoritative source, superseding other weather services.