TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 15, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 15, 2026?

Volume:
$42,224

89° to 90°

 - Kalshi

89° to 90° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

89° to 90°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,534
N/A
N/A
$3,600
Settled
Yes
kalshi

91° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,124
N/A
N/A
$7,748
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,324
N/A
N/A
$2,217
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,780
N/A
N/A
$2,550
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,775
N/A
N/A
$2,559
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,687
N/A
N/A
$2,028
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Phoenix on July 15, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service Climatological Report for that date, with resolution based on which temperature range the recorded minimum falls into.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the minimum temperature recorded in Phoenix, Arizona on July 15, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source is accessed via the NWS Phoenix office website under the Observed Weather tab for Phoenix, AZ. Temperature ranges are: 82°F or below, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, and 91°F or above. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official NWS Climatological Report (Daily) serves as the authoritative source, superseding other weather services.