TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 3:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest nighttime temperature in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different temperature ranges determining the result.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recording for Phoenix, Arizona on August 9, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must access the report via the provided URL, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab and selecting "Phoenix, AZ" with the Daily Climate Report option. The latest available version of the data for the specified date must be used, acknowledging that reporting frequencies may vary across different locations. While preliminary data from services like AccuWeather or Google Weather may offer guidance, they are not authoritative; only the NWS report determines the market outcome. Traders should remain vigilant about potential rounding, conversion nuances, and the distinction between preliminary and final NWS data, as these factors could influence interpretations before the official report is finalized. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range or threshold, with the market resolving to "Yes" if the recorded minimum temperature falls within its designated range.