TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 9, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 9, 2026?

Volume:
$82,261

86° to 87°

 - Kalshi

86° to 87° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

86° to 87°

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,250
N/A
N/A
$5,076
Settled
Yes
kalshi

92° or above

0%
78%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,171
N/A
N/A
$11,487
Settled
No
kalshi

83° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,581
N/A
N/A
$16,906
Settled
No
kalshi

90° to 91°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,849
N/A
N/A
$8,527
Settled
No
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,350
N/A
N/A
$5,374
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,060
N/A
N/A
$4,293
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest nighttime temperature in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different temperature ranges determining the result.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recording for Phoenix, Arizona on August 9, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must access the report via the provided URL, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab and selecting "Phoenix, AZ" with the Daily Climate Report option. The latest available version of the data for the specified date must be used, acknowledging that reporting frequencies may vary across different locations. While preliminary data from services like AccuWeather or Google Weather may offer guidance, they are not authoritative; only the NWS report determines the market outcome. Traders should remain vigilant about potential rounding, conversion nuances, and the distinction between preliminary and final NWS data, as these factors could influence interpretations before the official report is finalized. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range or threshold, with the market resolving to "Yes" if the recorded minimum temperature falls within its designated range.