TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 8, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 8, 2026?

Volume:
$22,329

92° or above

 - Kalshi

92° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 9, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

92° or above

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,730
N/A
N/A
$6,096
Settled
Yes
kalshi

90° to 91°

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,510
N/A
N/A
$4,205
Settled
No
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,521
N/A
N/A
$2,134
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,153
N/A
N/A
$1,060
Settled
No
kalshi

83° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$708
N/A
N/A
$701
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$707
N/A
N/A
$651
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest nighttime temperature in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different ranges determining the result.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recording for Phoenix, Arizona on August 8, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must access the report via the provided URL after the date passes. The market with the matching temperature range wins; for example, if the low is 85°F, the '84° to 85°' market resolves to Yes while all others resolve to No. Traders should be aware that preliminary readings may differ from the final official report due to rounding or conversion factors, and all decisions are binding based on the published NWS data regardless of third-party weather services.