TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 3:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest nighttime temperature in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different ranges determining the result.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recording for Phoenix, Arizona on August 7, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must access it through the provided URL after the date passes. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 82°F or below, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, or above 90°F. If the recorded low falls within a market's designated range, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Traders should be aware that preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies, and only the final official report determines the outcome. External weather services may offer guidance but hold no resolving power.