TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 7, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 7, 2026?

Volume:
$20,969

89° to 90°

 - Kalshi

89° to 90° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

89° to 90°

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,457
N/A
N/A
$3,489
Settled
Yes
kalshi

91° or above

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,591
N/A
N/A
$8,773
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,168
N/A
N/A
$2,368
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,049
N/A
N/A
$915
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,021
N/A
N/A
$1,005
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$685
N/A
N/A
$685
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest nighttime temperature in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different ranges determining the result.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recording for Phoenix, Arizona on August 7, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must access it through the provided URL after the date passes. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 82°F or below, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, or above 90°F. If the recorded low falls within a market's designated range, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Traders should be aware that preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies, and only the final official report determines the outcome. External weather services may offer guidance but hold no resolving power.