TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 31, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 31, 2026?

Volume:
$23,611

75° to 76°

 - Kalshi

75° to 76° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,865
N/A
N/A
$2,261
Settled
Yes
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,072
N/A
N/A
$4,702
Settled
No
kalshi

83° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,749
N/A
N/A
$2,551
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,650
N/A
N/A
$2,295
Settled
No
kalshi

74° or below

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,336
N/A
N/A
$1,764
Settled
No
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,938
N/A
N/A
$2,199
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather service. It helps participants assess climate conditions and temperature trends for that exact day, reflecting real-world interest in weather forecasting and environmental monitoring.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on August 31, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges define possible outcomes: below 75°F, 75–76°F, 77–78°F, 79–80°F, 81–82°F, or above 82°F. The Weather Company’s official reported value is the sole determinant, regardless of other sources. Participants should exercise caution with preliminary data, as rounding and conversion differences may affect early readings. All markets share the same data source and methodology, ensuring consistency across outcomes.