TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 3, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 3, 2026?

Volume:
$25,715

92° to 93°

 - Kalshi

92° to 93° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

92° to 93°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,938
N/A
N/A
$3,956
Settled
Yes
kalshi

94° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,833
N/A
N/A
$5,044
Settled
No
kalshi

90° to 91°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,958
N/A
N/A
$1,230
Settled
No
kalshi

85° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,774
N/A
N/A
$1,710
Settled
No
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,715
N/A
N/A
$1,403
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,497
N/A
N/A
$1,197
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest nighttime temperature in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different temperature ranges determining the result.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recording for Phoenix, Arizona on August 3, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must access the report via the provided URL, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab and selecting "Phoenix, AZ" with the Daily Climate Report option. The latest available version of the data for the specified date must be used, acknowledging that reporting frequencies may vary across different locations. While preliminary data from services like AccuWeather or Google Weather may offer guidance, they are not authoritative; only the NWS report determines the market outcome. Traders should remain cautious when interpreting preliminary NWS data due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in reporting and measurement methodologies. The market resolves to Yes for the temperature range specified in each individual rule if the recorded minimum temperature falls within that range; otherwise, it resolves to No.