TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 21, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 21, 2026?

Volume:
$18,619

89° to 90°

 - Kalshi

89° to 90° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

89° to 90°

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,893
N/A
N/A
$2,396
Settled
Yes
kalshi

91° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,064
N/A
N/A
$2,299
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,639
N/A
N/A
$1,202
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,456
N/A
N/A
$1,301
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,128
N/A
N/A
$819
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,439
N/A
N/A
$507
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, categorizing outcomes based on different temperature ranges. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the night's chill. The resolution depends solely on official data from a designated weather provider.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the minimum temperature recorded in Phoenix on August 21, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market resolution. If the minimum temperature falls within a given range, that market resolves to 'Yes'; all others resolve to 'No'. While other weather sources may offer similar data for reference, The Weather Company’s report is the exclusive authority for final resolution. This structure ensures clarity and objectivity by anchoring all outcomes to a single, trusted data source.