TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 20, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 20, 2026?

Volume:
$17,891

82° or below

 - Kalshi

82° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

82° or below

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,453
N/A
N/A
$3,943
Settled
Yes
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,618
N/A
N/A
$3,386
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,035
N/A
N/A
$2,476
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,184
N/A
N/A
$1,860
Settled
No
kalshi

91° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,330
N/A
N/A
$1,289
Settled
No
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,271
N/A
N/A
$1,118
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather authority. It helps participants assess climate conditions and temperature trends for that exact day. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature report from the chosen weather source.

Kalshi

The event determines the resolution based on the minimum temperature recorded in Phoenix (CLIPHX) on August 20, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the minimum temperature falls within a specific range—whether 82°F or below, between 83-84°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, or above 90°F—the associated market resolves to Yes. All markets use The Weather Company as the sole, authoritative source for temperature data, ensuring consistency despite variations across other weather services. The secondary rule emphasizes that while alternative weather sources may offer guidance, only The Weather Company’s report is binding for final resolution.