TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 19, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 19, 2026?

Volume:
$59,039

83° or below

 - Kalshi

83° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Closed: Aug 20, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

83° or below

View
100%
99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,876
N/A
N/A
$7,047
Settled
Yes
kalshi

92° or above

0%
85%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,273
N/A
N/A
$11,958
Settled
No
kalshi

90° to 91°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,980
N/A
N/A
$3,275
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,711
N/A
N/A
$3,850
Settled
No
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,555
N/A
N/A
$2,643
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,644
N/A
N/A
$2,783
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather authority. Participants can assess various temperature ranges to predict how cool the night might be. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature report from the chosen source.

Kalshi

The event determines the resolution based on the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on August 19, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the minimum temperature falls within a given range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. All markets share the same data source and methodology, ensuring consistency. While other weather services may show different values, The Weather Company's report is the sole authority for resolving the event. This structure allows participants to evaluate the likelihood of each temperature range occurring on the specified date.