TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 17, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 17, 2026?

Volume:
$11,076

89° or above

 - Kalshi

89° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Closed: Aug 18, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

89° or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,021
N/A
N/A
$3,172
Settled
Yes
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,872
N/A
N/A
$1,387
Settled
No
kalshi

80° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,129
N/A
N/A
$1,502
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$646
N/A
N/A
$435
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
$218
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$185
N/A
N/A
$182
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected low temperature in Phoenix on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather authority. Participants assess whether conditions will result in cooler or warmer nights based on historical trends and climate forecasts. The outcome hinges on precise temperature readings from an approved source.

Kalshi

The event determines the resolution based on the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on August 17, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the recorded low falls within any of these ranges—from 80°F or below up to 89°F or above—the respective market resolves to Yes. All markets are mutually exclusive, meaning only one can resolve positively depending on the exact temperature. While other weather sources may offer similar data for reference, The Weather Company’s report is the sole authority for final determination, ensuring consistency and objectivity in resolving the event.