TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 15, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 15, 2026?

Volume:
$18,428

84° to 85°

 - Kalshi

84° to 85° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

84° to 85°

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,374
N/A
N/A
$6,429
Settled
Yes
kalshi

86° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,834
N/A
N/A
$5,653
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,706
N/A
N/A
$1,603
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$869
N/A
N/A
$596
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$358
N/A
N/A
$336
Settled
No
kalshi

77° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$287
N/A
N/A
$281
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends on how cold it gets during that night, with different ranges determining the result. It reflects real-world weather conditions and forecasting challenges.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at the Phoenix (CLIPHX) weather station on August 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the minimum temperature falls within a specific range, that associated market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. While other weather sources may offer similar data, The Weather Company's report is the sole authority for resolution. This structure ensures an objective, verifiable standard despite potential variations across different weather data providers.