TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 3:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest nighttime temperature in Phoenix on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different temperature ranges determining the result.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recording for Phoenix, Arizona on August 12, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the report's official release. While preliminary or third-party weather data may offer guidance, only the NWS report determines resolution. Temperature ranges are narrowly defined: below 79°F, 79-80°F, 81-82°F, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, or above 86°F, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, and reporting schedules can vary, requiring careful attention to the official data release timing.