TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 12, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 12, 2026?

Volume:
$59,627

79° to 80°

 - Kalshi

79° to 80° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

79° to 80°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,841
N/A
N/A
$7,525
Settled
Yes
kalshi

78° or below

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,478
N/A
N/A
$6,321
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,467
N/A
N/A
$8,732
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,558
N/A
N/A
$6,881
Settled
No
kalshi

87° or above

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,181
N/A
N/A
$5,591
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,102
N/A
N/A
$4,697
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest nighttime temperature in Phoenix on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different temperature ranges determining the result.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recording for Phoenix, Arizona on August 12, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the report's official release. While preliminary or third-party weather data may offer guidance, only the NWS report determines resolution. Temperature ranges are narrowly defined: below 79°F, 79-80°F, 81-82°F, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, or above 86°F, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, and reporting schedules can vary, requiring careful attention to the official data release timing.