TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 3:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest nighttime temperature in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different ranges determining the result.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recording for Phoenix, Arizona on August 11, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must access the report via the provided URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'Phoenix, AZ' with 'Daily Climate Report'. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 79°F or below, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, or above 87°F. It is crucial to use the latest version of the data, as reporting frequencies may vary across cities. Traders should be aware that preliminary NWS data might include rounding or conversion nuances, so caution is advised when interpreting such information. Any source other than the specified NWS report, such as AccuWeather or Google Weather, is unofficial and should not be used for resolution purposes.