TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 11, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 11, 2026?

Volume:
$23,829

82° to 83°

 - Kalshi

82° to 83° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

82° to 83°

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,169
N/A
N/A
$4,597
Settled
Yes
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,529
N/A
N/A
$5,361
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or below

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,573
N/A
N/A
$3,333
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,004
N/A
N/A
$3,670
Settled
No
kalshi

88° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,233
N/A
N/A
$1,669
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,321
N/A
N/A
$854
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest nighttime temperature in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different ranges determining the result.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recording for Phoenix, Arizona on August 11, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must access the report via the provided URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'Phoenix, AZ' with 'Daily Climate Report'. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 79°F or below, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, or above 87°F. It is crucial to use the latest version of the data, as reporting frequencies may vary across cities. Traders should be aware that preliminary NWS data might include rounding or conversion nuances, so caution is advised when interpreting such information. Any source other than the specified NWS report, such as AccuWeather or Google Weather, is unofficial and should not be used for resolution purposes.