TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 10, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 10, 2026?

Volume:
$36,570

85° to 86°

 - Kalshi

85° to 86° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

85° to 86°

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,938
N/A
N/A
$5,702
Settled
Yes
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,565
N/A
N/A
$10,175
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or below

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,388
N/A
N/A
$2,496
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,938
N/A
N/A
$2,567
Settled
No
kalshi

91° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,588
N/A
N/A
$1,835
Settled
No
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,152
N/A
N/A
$1,925
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest nighttime temperature in Phoenix on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different temperature ranges determining the result.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recording for Phoenix, Arizona on August 10, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's data source is definitive, and traders must use the latest available version from the specified URL. While preliminary readings from other weather services may offer guidance, they do not override the NWS report. Temperature measurements may involve rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary reports, so caution is advised when interpreting early data. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome: below 83°F, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, and above 90°F. The market with the matching range will resolve as 'Yes', with all others resolving as 'No'.