TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 1, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 1, 2026?

Volume:
$8,064

93° or above

 - Kalshi

93° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

93° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,974
N/A
N/A
$3,242
Settled
Yes
kalshi

91° to 92°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,472
N/A
N/A
$1,202
Settled
No
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,396
N/A
N/A
$662
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$160
N/A
N/A
$159
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
$37
Settled
No
kalshi

84° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest nighttime temperature in Phoenix on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends on how cold it gets during that night, with different ranges determining the result.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recording for Phoenix, Arizona on August 1, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must access the report via the provided URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'Phoenix, AZ' with the Daily Climate Report option. The latest available version of the data should be used, acknowledging that reporting frequencies may vary across locations. While third-party weather services like AccuWeather or Google Weather may offer preliminary or estimated data, they are not authoritative for resolution purposes. Traders should be aware that preliminary NWS data might include rounding or conversion nuances, requiring careful interpretation before making decisions. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 84°F or below, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, 91-92°F, or above 92°F. The market that matches the actual recorded minimum temperature determines the resolution, with the 'Yes' outcome applying only to the market whose range encompasses the official value.