TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 3:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest nighttime temperature in Phoenix on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends on how cold it gets during that night, with different ranges determining the result.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recording for Phoenix, Arizona on August 1, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must access the report via the provided URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'Phoenix, AZ' with the Daily Climate Report option. The latest available version of the data should be used, acknowledging that reporting frequencies may vary across locations. While third-party weather services like AccuWeather or Google Weather may offer preliminary or estimated data, they are not authoritative for resolution purposes. Traders should be aware that preliminary NWS data might include rounding or conversion nuances, requiring careful interpretation before making decisions. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 84°F or below, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, 91-92°F, or above 92°F. The market that matches the actual recorded minimum temperature determines the resolution, with the 'Yes' outcome applying only to the market whose range encompasses the official value.