TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Oct 8, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Oct 8, 2026?

Volume:
$4,850

58° or above

 - Kalshi

58° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

58° or above

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,632
N/A
N/A
$1,765
Settled
Yes
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
88%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$896
N/A
N/A
$543
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$439
N/A
N/A
$384
Settled
No
kalshi

49° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
$400
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$259
N/A
N/A
$259
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
$218
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges in Philadelphia on a particular date in the future. Participants can evaluate historical climate patterns and seasonal trends to estimate probabilities. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded at Philadelphia (CLIPHL) on October 8, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 50°F, 50-51°F, 52-53°F, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, or above 57°F. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if material errors are identified in preliminary data, extending the evaluation period until a corrected publication or the official Expiration Date. If final data remains unavailable by the Expiration Date, markets resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. While other weather services may show different values, only The Weather Company's official report governs all outcomes.