TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Oct 7, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Oct 7, 2026?

Volume:
$2,741

45° or above

 - Kalshi

45° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

45° or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$928
N/A
N/A
$872
Settled
Yes
kalshi

43° to 44°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$823
N/A
N/A
$774
Settled
No
kalshi

41° to 42°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$390
N/A
N/A
$318
Settled
No
kalshi

39° to 40°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$296
N/A
N/A
$296
Settled
No
kalshi

37° to 38°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$249
N/A
N/A
$242
Settled
No
kalshi

36° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting Philadelphia's lowest temperature on a specific date in the future. Outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated source, with resolution based on precise temperature thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Philadelphia on October 7, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 37°F, 37-38°F, 39-40°F, 41-42°F, 43-44°F, or above 44°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, though preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication before the market’s expiration, resolution may be delayed until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. If no data remains available by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not exempt the data from potential revision or error correction.