TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Oct 6, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Oct 6, 2026?

Volume:
$7,724

48° to 49°

 - Kalshi

48° to 49° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

48° to 49°

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,616
N/A
N/A
$1,231
Settled
Yes
kalshi

50° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,960
N/A
N/A
$3,382
Settled
No
kalshi

42° to 43°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$779
N/A
N/A
$693
Settled
No
kalshi

46° to 47°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$574
N/A
N/A
$444
Settled
No
kalshi

44° to 45°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$443
N/A
N/A
$416
Settled
No
kalshi

41° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$352
N/A
N/A
$322
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting Philadelphia's lowest temperature on a specific future date. Outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated source, with markets covering different temperature ranges to capture various possible scenarios.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Philadelphia on October 6, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 41°F or below, 42-43°F, 44-45°F, 46-47°F, 48-49°F, or 50°F and above. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority for resolution, though the Exchange reserves discretion to address material errors in initial publications, potentially delaying expiration until corrected data appears. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, so participants should exercise caution. The “Final” status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.