TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Oct 18, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Oct 18, 2026?

Volume:
$3,861

40° or above

 - Kalshi

40° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

40° or above

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,394
N/A
N/A
$1,030
Settled
Yes
kalshi

38° to 39°

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,265
N/A
N/A
$1,082
Settled
No
kalshi

32° to 33°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$636
N/A
N/A
$586
Settled
No
kalshi

36° to 37°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$335
N/A
N/A
$311
Settled
No
kalshi

34° to 35°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$173
N/A
N/A
$173
Settled
No
kalshi

31° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting Philadelphia's lowest temperature on a specific date in the future. Outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated source, with markets covering different temperature ranges to capture various possible scenarios.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Philadelphia on October 18, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 31°F or below, 32-33°F, 34-35°F, 36-37°F, 38-39°F, or 40°F and above. The Exchange uses The Weather Company's official report as the sole determinant, even if other sources show different values. Preliminary data may be subject to revision, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if it identifies material errors in the initial publication. If no valid data exists by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions.