TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

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30,489

events

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2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on May 27, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on May 27, 2026?

Volume:
$12,342

67° or above

 - Kalshi

67° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 28, 2026

Closed: May 28, 1:00 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

67° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,806
N/A
N/A
$3,733
Settled
Yes
kalshi

59° to 60°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,019
N/A
N/A
$1,969
Settled
No
kalshi

58° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,736
N/A
N/A
$1,706
Settled
No
kalshi

61° to 62°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,594
N/A
N/A
$1,337
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,366
N/A
N/A
$755
Settled
No
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$820
N/A
N/A
$709
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

On May 27, 2026, the National Weather Service will record the overnight low temperature in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. This event captures the full range of possible minimum temperatures that could occur that day.

Frequently asked questions

The Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on May 27, 2026? dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for this weather event. It displays the current probability that the minimum temperature will exceed 66 degrees on that date, along with 24-hour volume of $3,808 and total group volume of $12,342. The dashboard updates continuously as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the market's evolving forecast. You can monitor price history, recent trades, and open interest to gauge how conviction around Philadelphia's May weather has shifted over time.

The market resolves on May 28, 2026, after the close of May 27, 2026 in Philadelphia. Resolution is determined by the official recorded minimum temperature for that date from the designated weather authority. The contract outcome hinges on whether that temperature reading falls above or below the 66-degree threshold. Traders should monitor official weather station data and any announcements from Kalshi regarding the specific data source and measurement methodology used to settle the contract. Once the temperature is confirmed, the market will automatically resolve and shares will be paid out accordingly.

Several factors could shift market pricing for Philadelphia's May 27 low temperature. Long-range weather forecasts updated by meteorological agencies may indicate stronger cold fronts or heat ridges approaching that date. Climate oscillations such as the North Atlantic Oscillation or jet stream patterns could signal cooler or warmer conditions. Real-time atmospheric data, sea surface temperatures, and seasonal climate outlooks will influence trader expectations. As May approaches, short-range forecasts become more reliable and typically trigger sharper price moves. Major weather events or pattern changes in the weeks leading up to May 27 could also prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust market odds.