TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
On May 27, 2026, the National Weather Service will record the overnight low temperature in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. This event captures the full range of possible minimum temperatures that could occur that day.
The market resolves on May 28, 2026, after the close of May 27, 2026 in Philadelphia. Resolution is determined by the official recorded minimum temperature for that date from the designated weather authority. The contract outcome hinges on whether that temperature reading falls above or below the 66-degree threshold. Traders should monitor official weather station data and any announcements from Kalshi regarding the specific data source and measurement methodology used to settle the contract. Once the temperature is confirmed, the market will automatically resolve and shares will be paid out accordingly.
Several factors could shift market pricing for Philadelphia's May 27 low temperature. Long-range weather forecasts updated by meteorological agencies may indicate stronger cold fronts or heat ridges approaching that date. Climate oscillations such as the North Atlantic Oscillation or jet stream patterns could signal cooler or warmer conditions. Real-time atmospheric data, sea surface temperatures, and seasonal climate outlooks will influence trader expectations. As May approaches, short-range forecasts become more reliable and typically trigger sharper price moves. Major weather events or pattern changes in the weeks leading up to May 27 could also prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust market odds.