Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Jun 7, 2026?

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature outcome is priced as a binary or range-based contract reflecting trader expectations about Philadelphia's June 7 low. Prices move based on incoming weather model updates, seasonal trend shifts, and trading volume. As the event date approaches, price discovery typically tightens around more confident forecasts. Traders can buy or sell positions at the current market price, with odds updating continuously to reflect the collective view of all active participants on the platform.

The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official recorded lowest temperature in Philadelphia on June 7, 2026, sourced from a designated weather authority. The specific temperature threshold or range that defines each outcome is established at market creation. Once the day concludes and the final low temperature is confirmed, the market settles according to which outcome bracket or condition the actual reading matches, and traders' positions are credited or debited accordingly.

Major weather pattern shifts, updated seasonal forecasts, and atmospheric circulation changes can significantly move odds. A sudden cold front or high-pressure system moving into the Northeast in early June would lower expected temperatures and shift trader positioning. Conversely, warmer ridge development or tropical moisture intrusion could raise lows. Real-time model consensus updates from the National Weather Service, European, and GFS models typically drive intraday volatility. Traders also respond to longer-range climate outlooks and any unusual jet-stream configurations that emerge as June 7 approaches.