Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Jun 10, 2026?

On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in Philadelphia on June 10 is priced as a binary or range-based contract reflecting the probability of specific temperature thresholds being reached. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares based on their conviction about whether the low will fall within or outside defined ranges. Prices move as new weather data, seasonal patterns, and climate signals emerge, allowing participants to express granular views on how cold that June morning will be in Philadelphia.

The market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, after the close of trading and once official temperature data for June 10, 2026, in Philadelphia is recorded. The outcome is determined by the actual lowest temperature recorded on that date, measured against the contract's predefined thresholds or ranges. Resolution timing allows for verification of the final temperature reading before settlement is finalized on the platform.

Major weather pattern shifts, seasonal climate anomalies, and updated long-range forecasts from meteorological agencies can significantly move odds for Philadelphia's June 10 low. Broader atmospheric events such as jet stream positioning, ocean temperature patterns, and historical precedent for early summer cold snaps in the Northeast will influence trader positioning. As June approaches, short-range forecasts become more precise, typically causing sharper price movements. Real-time weather model updates and any unusual climate signals will drive continuous repricing of temperature expectations.