TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Jul 30, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Jul 30, 2026?

Volume:
$4,078

69° or above

 - Kalshi

69° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

69° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,307
N/A
N/A
$1,713
Settled
Yes
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,261
N/A
N/A
$808
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$398
N/A
N/A
$398
Settled
No
kalshi

61° to 62°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
$38
Settled
No
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
$38
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Philadelphia on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported after the fact, making it a straightforward test of weather conditions against predefined thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded for Philadelphia on July 30, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 60°F or below, 61-62°F, 63-64°F, 65-66°F, 67-68°F, or 69°F and above. The exact temperature value determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must reference the official NWS data source provided, as preliminary or third-party weather reports are not considered authoritative. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary NWS data, participants should await the final reported value before making definitive assessments.