TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Aug 12, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Aug 12, 2026?

Volume:
$5,516

73° or above

 - Kalshi

73° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

73° or above

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,728
N/A
N/A
$2,141
Settled
Yes
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,376
N/A
N/A
$1,239
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$756
N/A
N/A
$727
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$584
N/A
N/A
$584
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
$51
Settled
No
kalshi

64° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Philadelphia on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess probable weather conditions based on historical trends, seasonal patterns, and long-range forecasts to determine the likely temperature range.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Philadelphia on August 12, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 64°F or below, 65-66°F, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, 71-72°F, or above 72°F. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines the resolving market, with no consideration given to preliminary or third-party data sources. Traders must rely exclusively on the authoritative NWS data, noting that reporting may involve rounding and conversion nuances that could affect interpretation. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive for the defined temperature spectrum.