TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Aug 10, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Aug 10, 2026?

Volume:
$17,261

75° to 76°

 - Kalshi

75° to 76° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,513
N/A
N/A
$3,222
Settled
Yes
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,825
N/A
N/A
$1,264
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,306
N/A
N/A
$1,265
Settled
No
kalshi

68° or below

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,754
N/A
N/A
$1,630
Settled
No
kalshi

77° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,668
N/A
N/A
$1,524
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,194
N/A
N/A
$970
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Philadelphia on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported after the fact, making it a straightforward test of future weather conditions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded for Philadelphia on August 10, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market covers a specific temperature range: 68°F or below, 69-70°F, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, or above 76°F. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines the resolving market, with no consideration given to preliminary or third-party data sources. Traders must rely on the final, official NWS data release for the date, as reporting nuances and rounding may affect interpretations of earlier or unofficial data.