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Lowest temperature in Paris on June 9?
polymarket

Lowest temperature in Paris on June 9?

Volume:
$18,039

10°C

 - Polymarket

10°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 9, 2026

Closed: Jun 9, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

10°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,671
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

11°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,580
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

7°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

9°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,997
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,415
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

8°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,184
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

13°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$978
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$793
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$577
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

6°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$466
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the lowest temperature in Paris on June 9 is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader bets into implied probabilities for each temperature outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific temperature ranges or thresholds, and the price of each share reflects the collective belief in that outcome. As traders adjust positions ahead of Jun 9, 2026, prices shift continuously. The market structure incentivizes accurate pricing because traders profit by identifying mispriced outcomes relative to actual meteorological conditions expected on that date.

The Lowest temperature in Paris on June 9 market resolves on Jun 9, 2026. Resolution is determined by the actual lowest temperature recorded in Paris on that date, measured according to standard meteorological protocols. Once the date passes and official temperature data is published, the market settles based on which outcome bracket or threshold the recorded low falls into. Traders should verify the exact measurement station and data source specified in the market terms to understand how the final outcome will be determined and validated.

Several factors could shift odds for the lowest temperature in Paris on June 9. Major weather pattern changes, such as shifts in Atlantic storm systems or high-pressure ridges, will influence trader expectations. Updated seasonal forecasts from meteorological agencies and real-time model runs as June approaches will drive repricing. Broader climate anomalies, such as early heat waves or cold snaps across Europe, may alter baseline assumptions. Additionally, any unusual atmospheric events or oscillations in jet-stream positioning could prompt rapid market adjustments. Traders monitor long-range forecasts and historical temperature analogues to anticipate moves.