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Lowest temperature in Paris on June 2?
polymarket

Lowest temperature in Paris on June 2?

Volume:
$24,338

16°C

 - Polymarket

16°C - Polymarket

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 2, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

16°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,223
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

13°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,346
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,149
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,147
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,776
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,529
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$865
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$784
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

11°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$732
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

10°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$467
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

9°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations and often incorporate meteorological forecasts from professional weather services. While analyst predictions rely on atmospheric models and historical climate data, prediction markets add real-money incentives that can sharpen accuracy. Comparing the market's implied temperature range to published forecasts from Météo-France or similar agencies reveals whether traders are pricing in consensus expectations or diverging based on alternative interpretations of upcoming weather patterns.

The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026, after the lowest temperature in Paris on June 2 is officially recorded. Resolution depends on the verified minimum temperature reading for that calendar day, typically sourced from authoritative meteorological stations in or near Paris. Once the official data is published and confirmed, the contract settles according to whether the actual low matches the specified outcome threshold, determining which traders receive their payouts.

Major weather model updates, seasonal climate patterns, and atmospheric pressure systems over Western Europe will drive price movement. A shift toward cooler Arctic air masses or warmer Mediterranean influences could significantly alter trader expectations. Real-time meteorological alerts, changes in long-range forecasts, and historical temperature anomalies for early June in Paris will all influence odds. As June 2 approaches, daily weather updates and final model consensus will likely trigger sharp repricing as uncertainty narrows and the actual conditions become clearer.