TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Lowest temperature in Oklahoma City on May 28, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Oklahoma City on May 28, 2026?

Volume:
$4,903

66° or above

 - Kalshi

66° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 29, 2026

Closed: May 29, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

66° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,805
N/A
N/A
$2,492
Settled
Yes
kalshi

64° to 65°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$818
N/A
N/A
$576
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$395
N/A
N/A
$391
Settled
No
kalshi

60° to 61°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$337
N/A
N/A
$335
Settled
No
kalshi

58° to 59°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$330
N/A
N/A
$307
Settled
No
kalshi

57° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$219
N/A
N/A
$219
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether the lowest temperature recorded in Oklahoma City on May 28, 2026, will exceed 65 degrees Fahrenheit. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—a minimum above 65°—stands at 98.0%, while the alternative outcome of a minimum between 64–65° is at 2.0%. Resolution will be determined by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for that date. Watch the actual temperature reading released by the National Weather Service on May 29, 2026, to see how this market settles.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time trader expectations about Oklahoma City's minimum temperature on May 28, 2026, often incorporating diverse data sources and expert opinion. Traditional weather analysts and meteorological models typically issue forecasts closer to the event date, while prediction markets aggregate ongoing sentiment from active traders. Comparing market-implied probabilities to seasonal climate patterns and historical May temperatures in Oklahoma City can reveal whether traders are pricing in above-average or below-average cold for late spring.

The market resolves on May 29, 2026, after May 28, 2026 concludes and official temperature data becomes available. Resolution depends on the recorded minimum temperature for that calendar day in Oklahoma City, measured against the 58-degree threshold specified in the contract. Once verified data is published by the relevant meteorological authority, the contract settles automatically, paying out to correct predictors and closing the trading period for this event.

Several factors could shift market odds for this temperature event. Seasonal climate forecasts, atmospheric patterns, and long-range weather models issued in the months leading up to May 2026 will influence trader positioning. Major weather systems, jet-stream anomalies, or El Niño/La Niña conditions could alter expectations for late-spring temperatures in Oklahoma. Historical May temperature trends and any unusual warming or cooling patterns observed in spring 2026 may also prompt traders to adjust their bets as the event date approaches.