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24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

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30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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Lowest temperature in Oklahoma City on May 27, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Oklahoma City on May 27, 2026?

Volume:
$6,880

65° to 66°

 - Kalshi

65° to 66° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 28, 2026

Closed: May 28, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

65° to 66°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,853
N/A
N/A
$3,078
Settled
Yes
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,266
N/A
N/A
$602
Settled
No
kalshi

61° to 62°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$843
N/A
N/A
$584
Settled
No
kalshi

59° to 60°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$352
N/A
N/A
$340
Settled
No
kalshi

67° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$346
N/A
N/A
$335
Settled
No
kalshi

58° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$220
N/A
N/A
$220
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

On May 27, 2026, the National Weather Service will record the overnight low temperature in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. This event captures the full range of possible minimum temperatures that could occur that day.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time trader consensus on May 27 Oklahoma City temperatures, often incorporating meteorological models and seasonal patterns faster than traditional analyst forecasts. While weather analysts rely on deterministic models and historical averages, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from many participants with financial incentives to forecast accurately. The current market pricing suggests strong confidence in specific temperature ranges. Comparing Kalshi odds to National Weather Service or private meteorology firm predictions can reveal where traders diverge from institutional forecasts, highlighting either market efficiency or potential mispricings.

The market resolves on May 28, 2026, after the lowest temperature recorded in Oklahoma City on May 27, 2026 is officially documented. Resolution depends on verified temperature data from authoritative weather stations serving the Oklahoma City area. The specific outcome is determined by comparing the recorded low against the contract thresholds defined in each market. Once the official low is confirmed, contracts settle automatically based on whether the actual temperature falls within or outside the specified range. Traders should monitor weather station reports and official records as the event date approaches to assess final settlement likelihood.

Several factors could shift odds on this Oklahoma City temperature market. Major weather pattern changes, such as shifts in jet stream positioning or the development of high-pressure systems, would alter seasonal temperature expectations. Updated long-range forecasts from the National Weather Service or European weather models often trigger significant repricing. Unusual spring weather events, such as late freezes or early heat waves affecting the region, would influence trader positioning. Climate anomalies, El Niño or La Niña phase changes, and real-time atmospheric data closer to May 27 all serve as catalysts. As resolution approaches, increasingly precise short-range forecasts will narrow uncertainty and drive final price convergence.