TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
On May 27, 2026, the National Weather Service will record the overnight low temperature in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. This event captures the full range of possible minimum temperatures that could occur that day.
The market resolves on May 28, 2026, after the lowest temperature recorded in Oklahoma City on May 27, 2026 is officially documented. Resolution depends on verified temperature data from authoritative weather stations serving the Oklahoma City area. The specific outcome is determined by comparing the recorded low against the contract thresholds defined in each market. Once the official low is confirmed, contracts settle automatically based on whether the actual temperature falls within or outside the specified range. Traders should monitor weather station reports and official records as the event date approaches to assess final settlement likelihood.
Several factors could shift odds on this Oklahoma City temperature market. Major weather pattern changes, such as shifts in jet stream positioning or the development of high-pressure systems, would alter seasonal temperature expectations. Updated long-range forecasts from the National Weather Service or European weather models often trigger significant repricing. Unusual spring weather events, such as late freezes or early heat waves affecting the region, would influence trader positioning. Climate anomalies, El Niño or La Niña phase changes, and real-time atmospheric data closer to May 27 all serve as catalysts. As resolution approaches, increasingly precise short-range forecasts will narrow uncertainty and drive final price convergence.