TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The minimum temperature in Oklahoma City on June 6, 2026, will be recorded by the National Weather Service. This event tracks the overnight low temperature for that specific date in central Oklahoma.
On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in Oklahoma City on June 6 is priced as binary or range-based contracts reflecting specific temperature thresholds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As new weather data, seasonal patterns, and real-time conditions emerge, Kalshi's order book adjusts prices to reflect updated market sentiment about how cold Oklahoma City will be on that date.
The market resolves on Jun 7, 2026, after the lowest temperature in Oklahoma City on June 6, 2026, has been recorded and verified. Resolution depends on official temperature data from a designated weather station or meteorological authority serving Oklahoma City. Once the actual low temperature is confirmed, the market settles according to which outcome bracket or threshold it falls into, and traders' positions are finalized based on the recorded value.
Major atmospheric patterns, seasonal climate anomalies, and real-time weather model updates will drive price movement in this market. A shift toward cooler or warmer jet-stream positioning, changes in El Niño or La Niña conditions, and updated extended forecasts from the National Weather Service can all trigger trader repositioning. As June 6 approaches, short-term weather models become more reliable, typically causing sharper price swings. Cold fronts, high-pressure systems, and any unusual weather events in late May or early June will influence final market pricing.