Lowest temperature in NYC on June 5?

On Polymarket, the lowest temperature in NYC on June 5 is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time odds for each temperature outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing different temperature ranges trade continuously, and the price of each reflects the probability the market assigns to that outcome. As traders buy or sell shares based on their expectations, the prices adjust dynamically. The current odds show which temperature scenarios the market favors most heavily, and you can track how sentiment evolves as June 5 approaches and weather models update.

The Lowest temperature in NYC on June 5 market resolves on Jun 5, 2026, after the actual minimum temperature for that day is recorded. Resolution is determined by official temperature data, which establishes which outcome bracket the day's low falls into. Once the data is confirmed and the market settles, traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payouts. The timing ensures sufficient data collection and verification before final settlement occurs.

Several factors could shift odds for the lowest temperature in NYC on June 5 before resolution. Updated weather models and extended forecasts from meteorological services often trigger significant repricing as confidence in temperature predictions changes. Major atmospheric patterns, jet stream positioning, and the approach of weather systems like fronts or high-pressure domes can alter expectations. Real-time conditions in early June, including cloud cover and wind patterns, will influence final overnight lows. Traders continuously reassess these signals, so odds may swing as new data arrives and the event date draws closer.