TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 9, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 9, 2026?

Volume:
$26,793

47° or below

 - Kalshi

47° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

47° or below

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,813
N/A
N/A
$6,642
Settled
Yes
kalshi

56° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,932
N/A
N/A
$6,922
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,395
N/A
N/A
$1,084
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,598
N/A
N/A
$3,438
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,943
N/A
N/A
$1,824
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,112
N/A
N/A
$1,105
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected minimum temperature in Newark on a specific date, helping participants assess climate conditions for planning or risk management purposes. The outcome depends solely on officially recorded data from a designated weather provider.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) on Oct 9, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 47° or below, 48-49°, 50-51°, 52-53°, 54-55°, or above 55°F. The Weather Company's data is the sole authority, even if other sources show different values. Preliminary readings may be rounded or converted differently from final values, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data before expiration, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is published or until the expiration date. If no data remains available by expiration, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. A "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.