TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 8, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 8, 2026?

Volume:
$2,637

55° to 56°

 - Kalshi

55° to 56° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

55° to 56°

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$511
N/A
N/A
$419
Settled
Yes
kalshi

49° to 50°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$902
N/A
N/A
$870
Settled
No
kalshi

57° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$605
N/A
N/A
$581
Settled
No
kalshi

51° to 52°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$292
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$244
N/A
N/A
$106
Settled
No
kalshi

48° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
$66
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges in Newark on a particular date in 2026. Participants can speculate on whether the lowest temperature recorded will fall within certain degree intervals, providing a way to evaluate expectations about future weather conditions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) on October 8, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 48° or below, 49-50°, 51-52°, 53-54°, 55-56°, or 57° or above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and any discrepancies or errors in preliminary reports will be addressed per the Exchange's discretion. If a material error is identified before the expiration date, the resolution may be delayed until corrected data is published. In the absence of final data by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. It is important to note that while other weather services may show similar data, they are not used for official resolution.