TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 7, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 7, 2026?

Volume:
$2,357

45° to 46°

 - Kalshi

45° to 46° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

45° to 46°

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$857
N/A
N/A
$745
Settled
Yes
kalshi

43° to 44°

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$669
N/A
N/A
$527
Settled
No
kalshi

47° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$354
N/A
N/A
$307
Settled
No
kalshi

39° to 40°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
$203
Settled
No
kalshi

41° to 42°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$191
N/A
N/A
$189
Settled
No
kalshi

38° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
$84
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the lowest temperature that will be recorded in Newark on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of climate forecasting accuracy.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) on October 7, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 38° or below, 39-40°, 41-42°, 43-44°, 45-46°, or above 46°. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, even if other weather services show different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If no valid data is available by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.