TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 5, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 5, 2026?

Volume:
$1,988

53° to 54°

 - Kalshi

53° to 54° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

53° to 54°

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$510
N/A
N/A
$510
Settled
Yes
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$404
N/A
N/A
$251
Settled
No
kalshi

50° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$384
N/A
N/A
$384
Settled
No
kalshi

57° to 58°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$254
N/A
N/A
$254
Settled
No
kalshi

59° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$225
N/A
N/A
$132
Settled
No
kalshi

51° to 52°

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$211
N/A
N/A
$156
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Newark on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants assess temperature probabilities based on historical trends and forecasts, with outcomes determined by official weather station readings.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) on Oct 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 50° or below, 51-52°, 53-54°, 55-56°, 57-58°, or above 58°. The Exchange holds expiration if a material error is identified in preliminary data, resolving markets to the last fair price if no valid data exists by the expiration date. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, and the "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi does not guarantee error-free data.