TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$2,354

56° to 57°

 - Kalshi

56° to 57° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

56° to 57°

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,280
N/A
N/A
$1,024
Settled
Yes
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$373
N/A
N/A
$236
Settled
No
kalshi

58° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$356
N/A
N/A
$290
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$164
N/A
N/A
$164
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$128
N/A
N/A
$123
Settled
No
kalshi

49° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Newark on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting possible weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) on Oct 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 49°F or below, 50-51°F, 52-53°F, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, or 58°F and above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and users should be aware that preliminary data may differ from final reported values due to rounding or conversion issues. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions.