TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 31, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 31, 2026?

Volume:
$1,054

47° or above

 - Kalshi

47° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

47° or above

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$393
N/A
N/A
$359
Settled
Yes
kalshi

45° to 46°

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$178
N/A
N/A
$122
Settled
No
kalshi

43° to 44°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$167
N/A
N/A
$134
Settled
No
kalshi

41° to 42°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$167
N/A
N/A
$166
Settled
No
kalshi

39° to 40°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
$124
Settled
No
kalshi

38° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the lowest temperature that will be recorded in Newark on October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range, and the outcome depends on which range the actual minimum temperature falls into.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Newark Liberty International Airport (CLIEWR) on October 31, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 38° or below, 39-40°, 41-42°, 43-44°, 45-46°, or 47° and above. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a market's specified range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. The Weather Company's data is the sole authority for resolution, and preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the Exchange may delay expiration until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.