TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 26, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 26, 2026?

Volume:
$13,933

40° or below

 - Kalshi

40° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

40° or below

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,537
N/A
N/A
$3,520
Settled
Yes
kalshi

43° to 44°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,739
N/A
N/A
$573
Settled
No
kalshi

49° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,905
N/A
N/A
$2,905
Settled
No
kalshi

41° to 42°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,623
N/A
N/A
$2,568
Settled
No
kalshi

47° to 48°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
$62
Settled
No
kalshi

45° to 46°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
$63
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the lowest temperature that will be recorded in Newark on a specific date in the future. Each market corresponds to a different temperature range, and the outcome depends on which range the actual recorded low temperature falls into.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) on October 26, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 40° or below, 41-42°, 43-44°, 45-46°, 47-48°, or 49° and above. If the recorded low temperature falls within a market's specified range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange determines there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, the expiration may be delayed until a corrected revision is published or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data is available by the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The status of 'Final' on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience but does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from the above error-resolution procedures.