TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the lowest temperature that will be recorded in Newark on a specific date in the future. Each market corresponds to a different temperature range, and the outcome depends on which range the actual recorded low temperature falls into.
All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) on October 26, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 40° or below, 41-42°, 43-44°, 45-46°, 47-48°, or 49° and above. If the recorded low temperature falls within a market's specified range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange determines there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, the expiration may be delayed until a corrected revision is published or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data is available by the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The status of 'Final' on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience but does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from the above error-resolution procedures.