TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges being recorded as the lowest temperature in Newark on a particular date in the future. Each market corresponds to a different temperature band, allowing participants to speculate on how cold or warm the night will be.
All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Newark Liberty International Airport (CLIEWR) on October 19, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 36°F or below, 37-38°F, 39-40°F, 41-42°F, 43-44°F, or 45°F and above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and any discrepancies or errors in preliminary reports may delay resolution until corrected or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. Participants should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary data due to potential rounding or conversion differences.