TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 16, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 16, 2026?

Volume:
$1,594

59° or above

 - Kalshi

59° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

59° or above

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$604
N/A
N/A
$532
Settled
Yes
kalshi

51° to 52°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$279
N/A
N/A
$279
Settled
No
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$248
N/A
N/A
$248
Settled
No
kalshi

57° to 58°

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$232
N/A
N/A
$182
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$173
N/A
N/A
$173
Settled
No
kalshi

50° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges being recorded as the lowest temperature in Newark on a particular date in 2026. Each market corresponds to a different possible temperature band, allowing participants to evaluate the probability of various weather conditions occurring.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) on October 16, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 50°F or below, 51°F to 52°F, 53°F to 54°F, 55°F to 56°F, 57°F to 58°F, or 59°F or above. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a market's specified range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. The Weather Company's data is the sole authority, though preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the Exchange may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. A "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.