TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges being recorded as the lowest temperature in Newark on a particular date in 2026. Each market corresponds to a different possible temperature band, allowing participants to evaluate the probability of various weather conditions occurring.
All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) on October 16, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 50°F or below, 51°F to 52°F, 53°F to 54°F, 55°F to 56°F, 57°F to 58°F, or 59°F or above. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a market's specified range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. The Weather Company's data is the sole authority, though preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the Exchange may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. A "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.