TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 14, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 14, 2026?

Volume:
$4,118

63° to 64°

 - Kalshi

63° to 64° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

63° to 64°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,735
N/A
N/A
$851
Settled
Yes
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$973
N/A
N/A
$634
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or below

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$633
N/A
N/A
$517
Settled
No
kalshi

61° to 62°

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$616
N/A
N/A
$454
Settled
No
kalshi

69° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
$109
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the lowest temperature that will be recorded in Newark on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of climatic conditions for that day.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) on October 14, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 60° or below, 61°-62°, 63°-64°, 65°-66°, 67°-68°, or 69° and above. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a market's specified range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so users should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, the expiration may be delayed until a corrected revision is published or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The status of “Final” on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the markets from these error-resolution procedures.