TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 11, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 11, 2026?

Volume:
$14,861

54° to 55°

 - Kalshi

54° to 55° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

54° to 55°

View
100%
99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,014
N/A
N/A
$723
Settled
Yes
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,278
N/A
N/A
$1,421
Settled
No
kalshi

58° or above

0%
72%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,589
N/A
N/A
$946
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$629
N/A
N/A
$540
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$178
N/A
N/A
$172
Settled
No
kalshi

49° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$173
N/A
N/A
$173
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Newark on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants can assess various temperature ranges to predict how cold it will get, with outcomes determined by official weather station measurements.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) on Oct 11, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a specific range, that market resolves to Yes, with all others resolving to No. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, even if other sources report different values. Preliminary data may be subject to revision, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The “Final” status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee immunity from revisions or errors.