TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Newark on Aug 31, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Newark on Aug 31, 2026?

Volume:
$435

70° to 71°

 - Kalshi

70° to 71° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

70° to 71°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$235
N/A
N/A
$235
Settled
Yes
kalshi

63° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
kalshi

68° to 69°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Newark on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends on how cold it gets during that night, with different temperature ranges determining the result. The data source for the final decision is a specific weather service.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at Newark Liberty International Airport (CLIEWR) on August 31, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the minimum temperature is less than 64°F, the market resolves to Yes for the first outcome. If it falls between 64°F and 65°F, the second outcome is Yes. Similarly, temperatures between 66°F and 67°F trigger the third outcome, between 68°F and 69°F the fourth, between 70°F and 71°F the fifth, and any temperature above 71°F results in the sixth outcome being Yes. All outcomes are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring exactly one will resolve. While other weather services may show different values, The Weather Company's reported minimum for that date is the sole authority for resolution. Users should be aware that preliminary readings from The Weather Company might differ from the final official value due to rounding or conversion adjustments, so caution is advised when interpreting early data.