TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Newark on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends on how cold it gets during that night, with different temperature ranges determining the result. The data source for the final decision is a specific weather service.
The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at Newark Liberty International Airport (CLIEWR) on August 31, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the minimum temperature is less than 64°F, the market resolves to Yes for the first outcome. If it falls between 64°F and 65°F, the second outcome is Yes. Similarly, temperatures between 66°F and 67°F trigger the third outcome, between 68°F and 69°F the fourth, between 70°F and 71°F the fifth, and any temperature above 71°F results in the sixth outcome being Yes. All outcomes are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring exactly one will resolve. While other weather services may show different values, The Weather Company's reported minimum for that date is the sole authority for resolution. Users should be aware that preliminary readings from The Weather Company might differ from the final official value due to rounding or conversion adjustments, so caution is advised when interpreting early data.