TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?

Volume:
$17,157

63° to 64°

 - Kalshi

63° to 64° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

63° to 64°

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,934
N/A
N/A
$3,882
Settled
Yes
kalshi

61° to 62°

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,225
N/A
N/A
$1,641
Settled
No
kalshi

59° to 60°

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,210
N/A
N/A
$1,672
Settled
No
kalshi

58° or below

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,097
N/A
N/A
$1,333
Settled
No
kalshi

67° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$861
N/A
N/A
$733
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$832
N/A
N/A
$738
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the lowest temperature that will be recorded in New York City on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of climatic conditions for that day.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on September 14, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 58° or below, 59-60°, 61-62°, 63-64°, 65-66°, or above 66°. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a market's specified range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, and preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial data before expiration, the resolution may be delayed until a corrected value is published or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable at expiration, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.