TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$245,601,049

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,405,322

408,349

Markets across

39,583

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,443

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 8, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 8, 2026?

Volume:
$10,581

57° to 58°

 - Kalshi

57° to 58° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

57° to 58°

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,981
N/A
N/A
$2,060
Settled
Yes
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,586
N/A
N/A
$1,695
Settled
No
kalshi

51° to 52°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,641
N/A
N/A
$1,581
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,571
N/A
N/A
$1,371
Settled
No
kalshi

59° or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$936
N/A
N/A
$930
Settled
No
kalshi

50° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$867
N/A
N/A
$819
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature reading from that source, with specific ranges determining the result.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on October 8, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 50°F or below, 51°F to 52°F, 53°F to 54°F, 55°F to 56°F, 57°F to 58°F, or 59°F and above. The Exchange uses The Weather Company as the sole authority for temperature data, and preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial data before expiration, the resolution may be delayed until corrected data is published or until the expiration date. If no data remains available by expiration, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.