TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$238,896,186

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

Markets across

39,552

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 5, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 5, 2026?

Volume:
$15,009

53° to 54°

 - Kalshi

53° to 54° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

53° to 54°

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,637
N/A
N/A
$2,453
Settled
Yes
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,449
N/A
N/A
$2,209
Settled
No
kalshi

50° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,789
N/A
N/A
$2,079
Settled
No
kalshi

51° to 52°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,888
N/A
N/A
$919
Settled
No
kalshi

57° to 58°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$946
N/A
N/A
$876
Settled
No
kalshi

59° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$301
N/A
N/A
$295
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants assess temperature ranges to determine the outcome, with the official source serving as the final arbiter of results.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on October 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 50°F or below, 51°F to 52°F, 53°F to 54°F, 55°F to 56°F, 57°F to 58°F, or 59°F and above. The Exchange holds final discretion to address material errors in the initial data publication, potentially delaying resolution until a corrected version is released or the expiration date arrives. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, and the "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform does not guarantee error-free data.