TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$19,173

56° to 57°

 - Kalshi

56° to 57° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

56° to 57°

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,259
N/A
N/A
$1,158
Settled
Yes
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,651
N/A
N/A
$8,689
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,887
N/A
N/A
$2,849
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,550
N/A
N/A
$1,280
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$969
N/A
N/A
$709
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$857
N/A
N/A
$776
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the minimum temperature falls within predefined ranges, offering various possibilities for how cold the city will be on that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on October 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 51° or below, 52-53°, 54-55°, 56-57°, 58-59°, or 60° and above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and any discrepancies or errors in preliminary reports may delay resolution until corrected or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.