TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 31, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 31, 2026?

Volume:
$13,101

47° to 48°

 - Kalshi

47° to 48° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

47° to 48°

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,706
N/A
N/A
$2,658
Settled
Yes
kalshi

49° to 50°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,193
N/A
N/A
$3,192
Settled
No
kalshi

45° to 46°

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,328
N/A
N/A
$1,304
Settled
No
kalshi

42° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,540
N/A
N/A
$1,283
Settled
No
kalshi

43° to 44°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,205
N/A
N/A
$619
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$129
N/A
N/A
$129
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific Halloween night, helping participants assess winter weather patterns for that exact date. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on October 31, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 43°F, 43-44°F, 45-46°F, 47-48°F, 49-50°F, or above 50°F. The Exchange holds expiration if a material error is identified in preliminary data, resolving markets to the last fair price if no valid data exists by the deadline. Preliminary readings may vary due to rounding or conversion differences, and the 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform does not guarantee error-free data.