TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 27, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 27, 2026?

Volume:
$39,518

45° to 46°

 - Kalshi

45° to 46° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

45° to 46°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,548
N/A
N/A
$8,815
Settled
Yes
kalshi

49° to 50°

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,435
N/A
N/A
$3,961
Settled
No
kalshi

51° to 52°

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,808
N/A
N/A
$2,647
Settled
No
kalshi

53° or above

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,321
N/A
N/A
$5,138
Settled
No
kalshi

47° to 48°

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,076
N/A
N/A
$2,920
Settled
No
kalshi

44° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,331
N/A
N/A
$2,986
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected lowest temperature in New York City on a specific date, helping participants assess climate conditions for planning or risk management. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on October 27, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 44°F or below, 45-46°F, 47-48°F, 49-50°F, 51-52°F, or above 52°F. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, even if other sources show different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and participants should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no valid data remains available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is for convenience and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.